Sponsored by the Randall W. Lewis Family Foundation
PMSA: April and March TEU Number Analyses
Most everyone has been bracing for April’s numbers to be subpar, if not appallingly dreadful. Even without firm TEU counts from the thirteen ports it monitors, the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker’s May 7 outlook for the month of April expected a 13.4% year-over-year drop in containerized imports.
PMSA: June 2020 Edition
No one expected May’s container trade numbers to be anything but awful. And, judging from the port TEU tallies posted so far, it looks like no one will be disappointed.
Global supply chain effects of COVID-19 control measures
Countries have sought to stop the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) by severely restricting travel and in-person commercial activities. Here, we analyse the supply-chain effects of a set of idealized lockdown scenarios, using the latest global trade modelling framework.
The Potential Impact of COVID-19 on GDP and Trade: A Preliminary Assessment
The virus that triggered a localized shock in China is now delivering a significant global shock. This study simulates the potential impact of COVID-19 on gross domestic product and trade, using a standard global computable general equilibrium model
COVID-19: Trade restrictions are worst possible response to safeguard food security
As COVID-19 spreads around the globe, fears of a deep global recession are mounting. Some also fear that food supplies may start running short, especially if supply chains are disrupted. Others fear that agricultural production may be disrupted by containment measures that restrict workers from harvesting and handling crops.
The COVID-19 Pandemic and International Trade: Temporary Turbulence or Paradigm Shift?
The current public health emergency will be followed by the mutually reinforcing economic and political crises that may ultimately lead to serious social disturbance as the costs of the pandemic will not only be high, but also unevenly distributed, both among countries and among different social groups within states.
Agriculture, transportation, and the COVID‐19 crisis
In this short paper, I assess how COVID‐19‐related disruptions in transportation services, as well as new demands for transportation services, could impact Canadian agricultural supply chains.